Ukraine must win. Russia must lose. It’s very easy.
So, first, let’s prescribe that you agree with that ultimate goal, as everyone from the United States does. President Joe Biden And the Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi To the German Chancellor Olaf Scholz And President of the European Commission Ursula von der Reyen..
Accepting less than that is immoral, setting historical precedents at devastating costs and unraveling the rest of our frayed international order of rules and institutions.
President Biden clarified the debate in him New York Times editorial this week. His words are NATO with all members of his administration who are still tentatively acting in providing Ukraine with weapons and freedom of action in using them to ensure Ukraine’s victory. Should be read carefully by allies.
“Standing by Ukraine when needed is not the only thing that is right.” I have written President Biden. “It is our important national interest to secure a peaceful and stable Europe and clarify that it may not be right. If Russia does not pay a large price for its actions, other aggression Send a message to those who have the potential to become ones, who can also seize territory and conquer the country … and it marks the end of a rule-based international order with devastating consequences around the world. Will open the door to invasion elsewhere that will bring. “
In short, we have to stop the Russian president Vladimir Putin Here we ensure that the rule of law does not replace the rule of law.
Putin’s war in Ukraine has passed 100 days, why write all this now?In the simplest terms, that’s because Putin shows. Grinding gain After shifting tactics in response to Ukraine’s unexpected victory and resilience, and the great losses and terrible performance of the Russian army in the early stages of the war.
Putin’s brutal new approach smashes Ukrainian populous areas in eastern and southern Ukraine with stand-off weapons, emptying their people by death and flight, reducing the risk to his own army, he deploys. Is to duplicate the brutal tactics that have been done. Syria.. After these cities and towns have been dehumanized, his army can “liberate” rubble, occupy territory, and position Russia for the most favorable peace agreement or further attacks possible. ..
At the same time, Putin has been financially damaging in Ukraine Blockade grain exports and destroy or steal available supplies..Putin continues to impose strict sanctions on him, but he is willing to risk hunger elsewhere. Betting that he can last longer than Western support For Kyiv through other democratic distractions, such as upcoming election cycles and recent US school shootings and Supreme Court battles.
But there are ways to counter Putin’s new tactics. It will grow even more resolutely, creatively and aggressively by combining the newly united Western and its Asian partners with military, economic and public relations attacks that will put Putin at his feet again. Will demand that.
The purpose should not be to ensure a stalemate, This allowed Putin to occupy 20% of Ukraine’s territory.And perhaps most importantly, in the strategic southern Ukrainian city of Kherson, with Odesa, by giving Ukraine a means to recapture territory through counterattacks rather than putting pressure on a self-defeating peace agreement. It is to secure access to the Black Sea. And in the final peace agreement.
Most importantly, for the potentially tired supporters of Ukraine, and even for the countries still sitting on the fence, we must not lose sight of the barbarism of Putin’s atrocities and therefore their moral responsibility against them.
“It is very important not to forget the atrocities,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. Speaking to Tom McTagg of the Atlantic in the most emotional language.. “Of course, it’s emotional. It’s about people being killed; it’s about atrocities; it’s about children, raped women, children being killed.”
With that in mind, it is completely wrong for the United States and arms suppliers to limit Ukrainian fire to attack only Russian targets in Ukrainian soil.Biden is an excellent editorial in other respects. I have written“We do not encourage or enable Ukraine to strike across national borders. We do not want to prolong the war just to hurt Russia.”
Just think about it. If someone is killing your family by shooting over the fence from your neighbor’s yard, what is a good weapon that can only shoot to your side of the fence? If you don’t take out the shooter, the killing will continue. It is this kind of self-defeating restraint that Putin is confident that he can win in the thread.
At the same time, the western group, which is working closely with Turkey, Ukrainian Black Sea harbor needs to be opened, Especially in Odessa Putin’s global food crisis Allows Ukraine to sell 28 million tonnes of grain stored.
For justification, one 1936 Montreux Convention It regulates traffic through the Black Sea and guarantees “total freedom” for civilian vessels to pass.
David Beasley, Managing Director of the United Nations World Food Program, said“The inability to open these ports in the Odessa region will be a declaration of war on global food security.”
Historian Winter war Between the Soviet Union and Finland in 1939-1940, a weaker, smaller, but more determined country demonstrated that it could last longer and maintain its sovereignty than Moscow.
The truth is that despite the overwhelming strength of tanks and aircraft, Moscow suffered severe losses at first after the invasion of November 1939, three months after the outbreak of World War II, and was mostly profitable. It means that I didn’t raise it.
Finland has blocked Soviet troops for more than two months, incurring considerable losses before the Soviet Union adopted different tactics, and overcame Finland’s defenses in February. Finland signed a peace agreement in March 1940 and transferred 9% of its territory to the Soviet Union. Moscow’s reputation deteriorated and it was removed from the League of Nations, but it robbed more territory than originally requested.
On the downside, Putin has been determined in the same way as Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin, sharing Stalin’s complete indifference to casualties and human suffering.
On the positive side, Ukraine receives dramatically more external support than Finland at the time.
But without further western determination, Putin can win and Ukraine can lose. Ukraine and the West need to show Putin a dead end, not an off-ramp.
— — Frederick Kemp President and Chief Executive Officer of the Atlantic Council.
